McCaskill's in!!!

According to National Journal's Hotline, that is:

24  MISSOURI: Finally, Some Claire Plans

      Multiple Hotline sources are confirming '04 GOV nominee/Aud. Claire McCaskill (D) will enter the race 8/30 (8/29).
      St. Louis Post-Dispatch's Mannies writes: "sentiment is divided. The view is that she is either: Preparing to emulate" Sen. Jim Talent (R), who won a SEN '02 race after losing for GOV '00. Or she's: "About to commit political suicide by abandoning a seemingly secure re-election bid to listen to" Dem leaders who say she has to run "or doom the party's statewide ticket."
      However, recent news that McCaskill hired St. Louis Mayor Francis Slay's ex-manager Tod Martin "was touted by some as possible evidence" of her not running. Martin would be a good choice for a re-election contest, those pundits say, but he could be viewed as too local and too green" for a SEN bid.
      GOPers close to Talent "offer hints of the senator's game plan if McCaskill opts to run against him: highlight her lack of experience" in DC, at theme which "appeared to rattle the confidence" of ex-Sen. Jean Carnahan (D). His camp "also points to his record-setting fundraising this year." Meanwhile, the MO Dems are "testing a counterpunch by zeroing in on what it asserts is Talent's lack of political will or muscle." Exhibit A: BRAC's decision to strip MO of about 3K military-related jobs (8/29).
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An official announcement should come tomorrow.... (3.00 / 1)

Breaking News story from the Columbia (MO) Tribune. This doesn't confirm that she is in, but I think it is likely that her announcement will be that she is running for US Senate....

McCaskill to announce decision on Senate race

By JOSH FLORY of the Tribune's staff
Published columbiatribune.com Monday, August 29, 2005
State Auditor Claire McCaskill has informed Democratic Party officials about whether she plans to run for the U.S. Senate, and an announcement could come as early as tomorrow.

Missouri Democratic Party spokesman Jack Cardetti said he and party executive director Corey Dillon spoke with McCaskill on Saturday afternoon.

"She has informed the Democratic Party of her decision, and she will be announcing that this week," Cardetti said. He declined to provide further details.

However, an announcement of some kind is apparently scheduled tomorrow in Houston, Mo., where the auditor's father once worked at the McCaskill feed mill.

In an interview this morning, Chance Drake, a barber in Houston, said his father now owns the McCaskill property in Houston and was getting the mill "all cleaned up" for some kind of announcement.

"It was supposed to be kept quiet," he said. "She's running for some kind of office or something like that."

That's not necessarily a guarantee that McCaskill is running for the Senate.

The auditor previously indicated that she would seek re-election, but party leaders have urged her to take on incumbent U.S. Sen. Jim Talent, a Republican.

McCaskill had said she would announce her decision by Labor Day. While it's possible she could announce a re-election campaign in Houston, it seems more likely that the out-of-the-way location would be used to announce a Senate bid.

If that's the case, it would represent a major victory for Democratic leaders who were desperate to find a challenger to run against Talent.

McCaskill is considered a strong candidate, based in part on her gubernatorial run in 2004 when she ousted incumbent Democrat Bob Holden in the primary. She later lost to Matt Blunt in the general election, but she fared significantly better than Democratic presidential candidate John Kerry and boosted her name recognition with millions of dollars worth of television advertising.

If she runs, McCaskill would be taking a page out of the incumbent's playbook. Talent lost a race for governor in 2000 but ran for the Senate in 2002 and defeated incumbent Jean Carnahan. The Democrat had been appointed to the seat after her husband, former Gov. Mel Carnahan, won election posthumously.

Talent is generally considered to be in a strong position to run for re-election, but Democrats hope high gas prices, opposition to the war in Iraq and his opposition to therapeutic cloning could make him vulnerable.

If McCaskill does run, the race would almost certainly rank among the most-watched in the nation. When Talent took on Carnahan in 2002, he was boosted by visits from President George W. Bush, and the president would likely return if Talent faces a strong challenge.

McCaskill, on the other hand, would likely get support from a variety of prominent Democrats. Both would be expected to raise and spend millions of dollars on the race.

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Reach Josh Flory at (573) 815-1719 or jflory@tribmail.com.  
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by Keith Brekhus on Mon Aug 29, 2005 at 01:50:13 PM EST

YES!!!!!!!! (none / 0)

I knew she wouldn't let this golden opportunity pass her by.  Never doubted for a second.
by rapid response on Mon Aug 29, 2005 at 05:52:25 PM EST

Talent, Please Run on Your "Experience" (none / 0)

Like many people have noted here and elsewhere, 06 is going to have a huge anti-incumbent tide.  This is NOT the year to run against a challenger because she/he does not have Washington experience.  
Andy Katz
by Andy Katz on Mon Aug 29, 2005 at 08:14:28 PM EST


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